[ad_1] We have only had one vote poll published since the Christmas break and the Tories are ahead. So far, it does not appear that Sunak’s government has gained additional support from voters due to its hard-line approach to the…
[ad_1] Smarkets First Cabinet Exit bets With the NHS going through a particularly difficult period, it’s no surprise that punters are rating Health Secretary Steve Barker as the best chance to emerge from the next cabinet. Several front pages this…
[ad_1] Wikipedia Can Sunak’s Tories reverse the trend in the polls which seems to be going slightly back to LAB. The last survey of 2022 is in the Wikipedia table above with the two new companies People Polling and Omnisis…
[ad_1] The January 6 committee is over, but the investigation into Donald Trump is not. Trump is now more in danger of impeachment than at any time since entering politics. A newly appointed special counsel is overseeing not one, but…
[ad_1] This will be the fourth year in a row that the staff of Future Perfect has given itself the task of trying to predict, well, the future. It’s in the name of the section, but forecasting is something that…
[ad_1] Everything Michael Cohen, Trump’s former lawyer in the congressional hearing about Trump’s fraudulent tax affairs has been proven right. Cohen said Trump inflated property values to increase his reported wealth and lowered values to get loans. In some places…
[ad_1] Smarkets I publish the above only because it is useful to have a point of reference as to where these bets are in the main market at the beginning of the year. I am far from convinced about American…
[ad_1] China is opening rapidly after years of a “zero-Covid” policy, with strict lockdowns, mandatory testing, and major travel bans. But the major policy change could lead to further complications in China as people resume international travel, and geopolitically as…
[ad_1] This piece originally started as a 2023 prediction thread, but then I realized that the 2024 presidential election and the subsequent UK general election were shown so much that I realized that the election could happen within weeks if…
[ad_1] In 2022, many Americans feel pessimistic about the economy: Inflation is rising higher, fears of a spreading recession, and interest rates are rising. In the new year, economists say that 2023 will bring a change. Inflation is expected to…