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I publish the above only because it is useful to have a point of reference as to where these bets are in the main market at the beginning of the year.
I am far from convinced about American betting because there is a long way to go and usually at this stage we have no idea who can put themselves into the frame.
As for the next UK General Election, I think Starmer will be prime minister, but whether or not he is majority leader is open to question. To move the LAB from 202 G2019 seats to the 326 needed for a majority is a big ask and I will continue to show the highest proportion of GE2019 CON voters who currently say they don’t know.
For me the jury is still out on Sunak because I have been less than impressed by the performance of the Commons and I am not sure that it does not yet have the public appeal to take the party forward. What is perhaps not appreciated is that he has little experience at the highest level of politics and that he was only elected as an MP 7 years ago. He only ever knew that he was in the ruling party and that Johnson was there waiting to attack if the opportunity arose,
Mike Smithson
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