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with FTSE 100 reached a new record this month, not many investors are considering the possibility of a stock market crash. However, some seasoned professionals worry that a major market decline may be on the horizon.
Strategist from Morgan Stanley there are several recent analysts who have announced that they believe the current stock price “disconnected from reality”. While inflation is under control, interest rate hikes by the central bank also increase the cost of capital. And since it takes time for the effects of monetary policy changes, businesses will start to feel the pinch in the coming months.
So, some bearish investors believe that a stock market crash could happen in 2023. So what should investors do?
Keep calm and carry on
It is worth pointing out that doomsayers always predict disaster in the investment community, even among professionals. But throughout history, most stock market recoveries have started when investors thought things were about to get worse. And those who listened to the bears missed out on some of the best buying opportunities of their lives.
But let’s be conservative and assume the stock market crash will happen in 2023. What now?
While the thought of falling stock prices is hardly appealing, being a long-term investor has its advantages. Providing a portfolio that contains quality companies that generate a lot of cash flow, temporary crashes in stock valuations may be irrelevant when taking a long-term perspective.
Never mind that the stock market has a perfect track record of recovering from the worst financial disasters. And this recovery is driven by top companies that weathered the storm and capitalized on the opportunities it created. After all, it’s not uncommon to see cash-rich companies start acquiring weaker competitors at discounted prices and gain greater market share in the future.
Understand the risk of accidents
As many investors have learned lately, volatility makes many people behave irrationally with their investment portfolios. Therefore companies that are not affected by the catalyst of volatility can see their stock prices rise.
Astute investors are wise enough to identify these companies that can take advantage of discounted valuations and set their portfolios up for long-term success. However, when emotions run high, it’s impossible to predict how far stock prices will fall, even for strong businesses.
Therefore, even if an investor buys a stock that looks cheap, it may continue to decline in the following weeks or months for no apparent reason. That’s why diversification is so important, as is pound cost averaging.
With the possibility of seeing lower prices in the future paired with the knowledge that market timing is a bad idea, spreading the buying activity over several months is an easy way to capitalize on cheap valuations while protecting against further declines.
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