We may need to revise our summer plans – politicalbetting.com

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Is a summer election becoming more likely? Sources have always insisted to me that those around the PM wanted to go for a November election, but they are now talking about what happens if the PM faces a confidence vote after May elections… 1/ https://t.co/1NKv27qbdn

— Anushka Asthana (@AnushkaAsthana) March 27, 2024

One insider said that there had been a shift from thinking there was still a glimmer of hope towards accepting more fully that defeat is coming, and so what that defeat looks like and how to handle it has become more key. Some like @Peston have suggested PM could just quit 3/

— Anushka Asthana (@AnushkaAsthana) March 27, 2024

I still think Tory strategists think the best option is to hold out for a November election, give time for economy to turn corner, and to set out positive vision. But increasing chance of the PM’s hand being forced 5/

— Anushka Asthana (@AnushkaAsthana) March 27, 2024

If deputy political editor of ITV news is right there is massive value in backing June, and/or July, August as the month of the general election. I still think an autumn election is where we are headed but I am now having a nibble at these prices.

I am not the only one to note that Sunak might be approaching a breaking point and wants out, this fits that thesis.

TSE

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