The LAB lead is very steady across the range of pollsters – politicalbetting.com

The big number to remember when looking at the polls is that Curtice’s projection for the LAB to secure a majority is a 7% poll vote over the Tories. The Conservatives, meanwhile, managed to secure a majority with a 3% GB vote lead

So it gave LAB a fair margin in the latest round of polls but, of course, the five-week general election campaign could change everything. Just remember what happened in TMay in GE2017.

But Labor doesn’t need a majority majority of Starmer to be PM. At the very least, he needs the Tories to lose enough seats to avoid winning a Commons confidence motion. My guess is about 45 losses should be just about doing it.

Mike Smithson