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There are now just two weeks of campaigning in the July 20 tri-election where the Tories are defending all seats. Mid Beds may have a betting market but so far Nadine Dorries has not backed down even though almost a month ago she said she would go straight.
His late suspension has been a problem in the seats and this has not helped the Tories. You don’t go public like Dorries with her June 9th “retreat” unless you mean it. I still think he’s still around until the general election.
If Nadine stops, the money so far has won LD even though Davey’s party is in third place in GE2019. There is a poll in the middle of Beds that has LAB also ahead and if LD and LAB do a slug out then it might be CON held.
Mike Smithson
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