With Labour hoping to make at least 25 gains from the SNP in Scotland there’s a new poll from YouGov that has the party’s deficit there up 7%.
This is a big blow for Starmer and the question is whether other pollsters in their Scottish polls find similar trends.
We don’t often dwell on it but the challenge facing LAB at the election is absolutely massive if it wants to achieve an overall majority. The party needs 122 gains which is not far off the 144 that Blair’s Labour got at GE1997.
My current guess is that Starmer’s party will come out on top but won’t have an overall majority.
Mike Smithson
