[ad_1] Some notes: – This is not a forecast of later in the year, it is based on current polling for an election held tomorrow– This is a polls-only model, it doesn’t incorporate MRPs, by-elections, local dynamics or tactical voting…
[ad_1] If Republican members of the House and Senate had the integrity of conservative Senator Mitt Romney, America would have gotten rid of the Trump virus a long time ago. Trump is not a member of Congress and yet the…
[ad_1] There’s obviously the London Mayoral election, ten other Mayoral elections and the PCC contests but I’m going to look at a key Council. Nuneaton & Bedworth Council covers all or part of the Conservative-held constituencies of Nuneaton and North…
[ad_1] Can we please have constituency markets and spreads for the general election? We are potentially a few weeks away from a general election and as far as I can see there are no individual constituency markets so we cannot…
[ad_1] The 1860 Arizona Abortion Law could possibly be the reason Trump loses the 2024 election. Because he and his MAGA allies realize this, he is already predicting the 2024 election is going to be rigged. To distract attention from his…
[ad_1] NEW: @BloombergUK Saturday read — Sunak is facing calls from some allies to name the election date to head off a leadership challenge after May 2 — Oct/Nov/Dec still the aim. Dec 12 is one date that’s been discussed…
[ad_1] The world is changed, I feel it in the water, I feel it in the earth, I smell it in the air, I see it in the polling, the era of Boris Johnson is over. The stand out figure…
[ad_1] Back in 2021 the final Redfield & Wilton poll for the London Mayoral election had Sadiq Khan leading Shaun Bailey, the Tory candidate, by 21% in the first round, Khan’s actual lead in the first round was fewer than…
[ad_1] Trump’s abuse of judges has been enabled for too long. He has been treated as if he is above the law. Any other defendent making threats and acting in contempt of court would have been remanded to jail. The…
[ad_1] It is astonishing to think that as we approach the tenth anniversary of when the wise Scots rejected secession and division we have the first proper* YouGov poll since before the referendum to show Labour ahead of the SNP…