A grim election night so far for the Tories – politicalbetting.com

Labour has lost control of Oldham council after losing seats to independents @PA

It did have small majority on council (31/60) but has been losing seats in recent elections.

There’s a large Muslim population in area, where Labour may have lost support because of Gaza stance.

— Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) May 3, 2024

Amid spectacular headlines, we can spot the likely vulnerabilities in LAB’s coalition post GE, not only in results like Oldham but also in a range of places where Greens faring well — & not only in what Keir might call “tree-hugger-land”. Big change with mid90s when Greens tiny https://t.co/O0hgge9hIW

— Tom Clark (@prospect_clark) May 3, 2024

‘The message to the Conservative party is going to be you are still in a very deep electoral hole’

Election expert Professor Sir John Curtice had this analysis on #BBCBreakfast after Labour won the Blackpool South by-election and made significant gains in councils across England… pic.twitter.com/n70aEIiDt3

— BBC Breakfast (@BBCBreakfast) May 3, 2024

Another CCHQ source gets in touch to dispute any claim that they are “chipper”.

They are also much more cautious about the London mayoral result.

— Theo Usherwood (@theousherwood) May 2, 2024