[ad_1] It appears that Danny Krueger and others are switching from Suella Braverman to Robert Jenrick which is bad news for her, she’s not very loyal and a caricature of herself. Braverman is the sort of person that would unplug…
[ad_1] 1) The collapse of the SNP. They lost half a million votes (42% of their 2019 total) and with it 39 seats. Its remaining 9 seats are not remotely safe – 7 of them are in the top 10…
[ad_1] Now the final result for #GE24 is in, I have calculated pollsters’ total absolute error (for all parties, relative to UK/GB vote share depending on the target population). pic.twitter.com/HlrMESXdOd — Will Jennings (@drjennings) July 6, 2024 Thinking about what…
[ad_1] When Sky News came and interviewed me, there were various requests and suggestions for PBisms I could try to slip into the package. I failed. But in the early hours of this morning, after hearing the ANME result from…
[ad_1] Trump supporters are excited about him and believe he won’t follow through on the heinous policies he eludes to. They are ready to vote for him despite the many choices of competent, law-abiding conservative candidates. Many Republicans who claim…
[ad_1] Writing a piece about why lawyers are awesome is a piece of epic tautology but it does have important betting related implications both today and in the future. Ever since Germany surrendered in World War II every time at…
[ad_1] Things that might cause ‘surprises’ relative to polling. 11% refused is quite alot and if that has become politicsed (for example via Farage’s attacks on pollsters) then they may not be random missing data. — Paula Surridge (@p_surridge)…
[ad_1] As we all await the bong at 10:00 PM, I’ve prepped up a few spreadsheets that will try and sort the wheat from the chaff. Sheet 1 This is the most important, and should collate the early results, click…
[ad_1] This isn’t an expression of reason, competence, emotional stability, or inspiration. The field offices must do more than talk about Biden’s achievements. The GOP fights dirty by spreading provable lies and publishing unflattering photos and videos of Joe Biden. …
[ad_1] Kemi Badenoch may be unable to stand in a future Conservative leadership contest because of delays in sending out postal votes in her constituency ?? — The Times and The Sunday Times (@thetimes) July 3, 2024 Laying the favourite…