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An interesting element of the next election is that Ladbrokes has a market on whether the LD can win more seats than the SNP. Bookie rates are small as they are tighter than evens.
The party had been third in parliament for decades until GE2015 at the end of the coalition when the number of seats was reduced to one. At the same time the SNP, after IndyRef took 56 out of 59 Scottish seats.
During this parliament, the LD has a net gain of three seats in Westminster by-election and there is hope for Honiton and Tiverton in two weeks. At the same time, we can witness a reduction in support for the SNP. In the latest poll only Scottish LAB Scottish is running neck and neck with the SNP. All this represents a huge reduction in the number of MPs the party will have after the next election.
Third parties at Westminster are allowed two questions per week at PMQs. The fourth party gets one every five weeks so this is very important.
I would rate the odds of LD in terms of evens.
Mike Smithson
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