BoJo a 9% betting chance to be CON leader at the election – politicalbetting.com

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Smarkets

This is a betting market I’ve never seen before and it’s hard to argue that the current odds are wrong.

There is little doubt that Johnson, given half a chance, would love to be back at Number 10. The question is whether or not he will be given that chance. In a moment that seems impossible.

Sunak is steadily increasing at Number 10 after completing the first 100 days. Worrying for him and his supporters is his approval rating which hit a record low of minus 18% in this week’s R&W poll. If there is a motion against him, this will be part of the case.

The more it looks as if the election will be a disaster for the Tories, the more precarious their position becomes.

I remain unimpressed. He had very little prior political experience and it showed.

Mike Smithson

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