Fact-Check: Is Lagos really bigger than the whole of Ghana?

A recent chat between Ghanaian musician King Promise and Nigerian content creator Peller has reignited one of West Africa’s favourite debates — Ghana versus Lagos. King Promise’s claim that “the whole of Ghana is not bigger than Lagos” has set social media ablaze, sparking arguments over geography, pride, and perception.

The award-winning musician said:

The whole of Ghana is not bigger than Lagos. Lagos is bigger than the whole of Ghana. And it’s not even the capital of Nigeria.

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How True Is King Promise’s claim?

This article examines whether Lagos truly surpasses Ghana in size, exploring the statistical evidence and unpacking the reasons behind this persistent misconception.

The Verdict: Geographically Inaccurate

When measured by land mass, the claim fails scrutiny entirely. The confusion typically stems from conflating distinct measurements: territorial area, demographic figures, population concentration, and financial productivity. Each metric tells a different story.

Ghana encompasses roughly 238,540 square kilometres (92,101 square miles), rendering it comparable in size to the United Kingdom. Excluding aquatic features, the nation’s terrestrial area measures approximately 227,533 square kilometres.

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Consider these proportions: Ghana’s north-south axis extends roughly 670 kilometres from Cape Three Points on its southern coastline to its northern boundaries, whilst spanning approximately 297 kilometres east to west. The nation shares frontiers with Togo eastward, Côte d’Ivoire westward, Burkina Faso northward, and the Atlantic Ocean southward.

Lagos State occupies 3,577 square kilometres, establishing it as Nigeria’s smallest administrative region despite possessing the highest population concentration. Alternative sources occasionally cite 1,292 square miles (3,345 square kilometres), though official records predominantly reference the larger figure.

Crucially, water features, lagoons, tributaries, and coastal channels, constitute 22% of Lagos State’s total territory, further diminishing the actual terrestrial space available.

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The designation “Greater Metropolitan Lagos” or “Lagos Megacity Region” encompasses an additional continuously developed area of 1,535.4 square kilometres (592.8 square miles), extending into neighbouring Ogun State.

Combining these figures:

Lagos State: 3,577 sq km

Greater Metropolitan extension: 1,535.4 sq km

Combined total: approximately 5,112 sq km

This aggregate represents merely 2.1% of Ghana’s total territory.

The Indisputable Mathematics

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The numbers speak unambiguously:

Ghana: 238,540 square kilometres

Lagos State: 3,577 square kilometres

Ghana exceeds Lagos State by approximately 66.7 times in territorial extent. Even incorporating the entire Greater Lagos Metropolitan Region (roughly 5,112 sq km), Ghana remains approximately 46.6 times larger.

Put simply: Lagos State could theoretically fit within Ghana’s borders approximately 67 times, with considerable space remaining.

Understanding the Misconception

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Several interconnected factors perpetuate this geographical confusion:

1. Demographic Ambiguity

Population figures present Lagos’s most legitimate claim to comparability with Ghana.

Census.gov data indicates Ghana’s population at 35.3 million, whilst Lagos records 17.2 million inhabitants. However, Lagos’s demographic statistics remain contentious.

The 2006 federal census suggested the conurbation housed approximately 9 million residents, though Lagos State authorities disputed this figure, publishing alternative data placing the Lagos Metropolitan Area population at roughly 16 million. By 2022, estimates for greater Lagos approached 28 million.

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Should the higher projections (25–28 million) prove accurate, Lagos might indeed possess comparable demographic weight to Ghana’s 35.3 million, though this concerns population rather than geographical magnitude.

Social media respondents swiftly corrected the record: “Lagos isn’t bigger than Ghana geographically, it’s more populated than Ghana, I mean Lagos population is more than that of the whole Ghana” and “Somebody tell King Promise that population size and land size are different; we don’t determine the size of a place by its population.”

2. Population Concentration

Lagos maintains a population density of approximately 4,907 persons per square kilometre, potentially reaching 20,000 persons per square kilometre in the metropolis’s most concentrated districts.

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Conversely, Ghana’s overall population density measures considerably lower at roughly 121–313 persons per square kilometre, varying by calculation methodology.

This dramatic disparity creates an impression of Lagos being “larger” because:

Inhabitants occupy far less space per capita

The constructed environment exhibits greater intensity and continuity

Traffic congestion and urban expansion create a perception of endlessness

Lagos’s energy and activity overwhelm most Ghanaian urban centres

3. Financial Productivity

5. Cultural and Media Prominence



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